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GARI Insight Report: Global Trends in Repossession and Restructuring – Part 2 28 July 2026

PART 2 – TRENDS IN RESTRUCTURING PROCEDURES: WHAT GARI REVEALS

"GARI is more than just a comparative dataset; it is a window into how restructuring systems actually behave under pressure across jurisdictions."

Watson Farley & Williams’ Global Aviation Resource Index (“GARI”), has become a core reference tool for analysing repossession, deregistration and restructuring procedures across 116 jurisdictions worldwide.

Following Part 1 which explored global repossession trends, we now look at some of the key data trends relating to restructuring procedures that can be derived from GARI. A key takeaway is that GARI is more than just a comparative dataset; it is a window into how restructuring systems actually behave under pressure across jurisdictions.

A Global Embrace of Rescue – With Mixed Results  

Across the 202 restructuring procedures captured by GARI, the majority (161 procedures) have the primary objective of preserving the debtor and its business. On paper, at least, rescue remains the global norm.

Practice tells a more uneven story. Only 46% of procedures (94) in the GARI data are classified as well-developed and consistently applied. In these systems, the framework is clear, with no material gaps in the relevant statutes or case law and courts exercise discretion predictably. These 94 procedures are largely concentrated in established restructuring jurisdictions such as the UK, the US, Australia, Canada and Singapore. All have long-standing insolvency regimes, experienced courts and restructuring tools that are regularly tested, providing a degree of certainty on the processes and outcomes.

Elsewhere, the picture is more fragmented. Many jurisdictions boast multiple restructuring processes but with differing levels of development and consistent application, indicating that restructuring law within those jurisdictions is not applied uniformly. Whilst some procedures are well‑established and predictably used, others may suffer from inconsistent court interpretation or lack sufficient case law. As a result, the reliability of restructuring outcomes in these jurisdictions may depend on the specific process used and the forum in which it is applied, rather than on the legal system as a whole.

At the other end of the spectrum, 29% of procedures (58) are classified as substantially untested. These tend to be found in emerging economies, such as some jurisdictions in Eastern Europe, Africa and the Middle East. These jurisdictions commonly have recently reformed insolvency systems or jurisdictions with historically low restructuring case volume. Of course, this does not indicate that a creditor may obtain a poor result from the usage of such a process, merely that the outcome will be less predictable for the time being at least.

Creditor Friendliness, the Cape Town Convention (“CTC”) and the Rule of Law

GARI’s creditor friendliness scores for a particular restructuring process assess a combination of factors: the strength of creditor rights, speed and cost of the procedure, procedural competence and rule‑of‑law compliance.

Of the 202 restructuring procedures reviewed:

  • 42 score high for creditor friendliness. Of these, 81% are located in jurisdictions that have ratified the CTC and the average rule of law compliance score is a robust 83%; and
  • 61 score low for creditor friendliness. Almost half of these (29) are found in jurisdictions that have not ratified the CTC and the average rule of law compliance score drops sharply to 32%.

The message is consistent with the findings in Part 1 of this report – ratification of the CTC by a jurisdiction, either separately or together with a high rule of law compliance, not only work together to be advantageous from a repossession perspective, but also demonstrate huge benefits in restructurings. When the CTC operates in conjunction with a broader ecosystem of strong courts, predictable enforcement and institutional experience, maximum benefit can be derived for creditors in restructurings.

A Different Dynamic for Debtors

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"Ratification of the CTC by a jurisdiction, either separately or together with a high rule of law compliance, not only work together to be advantageous from a repossession perspective, but also demonstrate huge benefits in restructurings."

The picture looks more nuanced when debtor friendliness is assessed.

The debtor friendliness score of a procedure under GARI measures accessibility, flexibility, debtor protections, speed and cost, competency and rule of law compliance scores.

Of the 202 procedures analysed:

  • 20 score high for debtor friendliness. Eight are in jurisdictions that have ratified the CTC and the average rule of law compliance score is exceptionally high at 91%; and
  • 87 score low for debtor friendliness. 27 are in jurisdictions which have not ratified the CTC, with an average rule of compliance score of just 29%.

In analysing this dataset there appears to be a direct correlation between the strength of each of the debtor friendliness score and the corresponding rule of law compliance scores, but there does not appear to be a strong trend relating to the CTC and whether this affects any given debtor friendliness score. Colour to this could be given by looking at the key objectives of the CTC itself. Whilst the CTC is commercially designed to benefit debtors in some ways, for example, by reducing financing costs and improving market costs, it is largely a creditor-oriented treaty and its influence on debtor protection is more limited.

Moratoria: The Breathing Space That Matters

For most of the procedures analysed by GARI, an automatic stay on enforcement (i.e. a moratorium) is triggered automatically. Only 23 procedures globally offer no moratorium at all. The ubiquity of moratoria comes as no surprise given that these are widely recognised as being essential to stabilise stressed businesses, prevent premature enforcement and create time to negotiate. However, the real differentiator is the length and certainty of moratoria, which may vary. In some cases, the full extent of the moratorium period cannot be known in advance because the relevant law takes a variable or ‘ad-hoc’ approach. This will directly influence the overall speed of the restructuring.

The Real Divide: How Fast and How Costly  

Speed and cost are equally important factors for any given restructuring procedure, as they are to any given repossession.

Quickest and least costly

From the data available on GARI, 13 of the quickest and least costly restructuring procedures are found in Cyprus, Denmark, Ireland, Spain, Turkey, Ukraine, the UK, Luxembourg and New Zealand, which on the hypothetical set of facts provided, typically conclude within 90 days at a cost of US$5m or less.

Common factors for these 13 restructuring procedures include:

  • eight procedures sit in jurisdictions where the law relating to the relevant restructuring procedures has been well-developed and consistently applied;
  • all of the nine jurisdictions where these 13 procedures are based have ratified the CTC; and
  • seven of these nine jurisdictions have also adopted Alternative A under the CTC (which imposes hard obligations such as specific ‘cure or return’ time limits).

The CTC was designed to reduce delay and uncertainty – the data uncovered in this section certainly seems to point towards the success of the CTC in achieving its lofty aims.

Least speedy and most costly

"In an industry defined by mobility and complexity, GARI enhances the aviation industry’s ability to navigate complex cross‑border legal environments and supports more informed, strategic decision‑making in aircraft finance and leasing."

Eight procedures stand out for being the slowest and most costly under GARI’s hypothetical fact pattern, in particular, the German bankruptcy plan, Swiss composition proceedings and the Vietnamese bankruptcy procedure, each costing in the range of US$10-25m (or even more) and taking an average of one-three years, or in the case of the Vietnamese bankruptcy procedure, over three years.

Notably, whilst all eight procedures have a moratorium period available, six of these procedures have a variable moratorium period, meaning that there is no fixed length. Half are located in jurisdictions that have not ratified the CTC which once again, reinforces a broader trend: where the CTC is absent and moratoria are unconstrained, restructurings tend to be longer, more expensive and less predictable.

CONCLUSION 

For financiers, lessors, airlines and advisers, GARI offers more than comparative rankings. It provides a practical, evidence‑based tool for stress‑testing transactions, assessing enforcement risk and tailoring deal structures to jurisdiction‑specific realities. In an industry defined by mobility and complexity, GARI enhances the aviation industry’s ability to navigate complex cross‑border legal environments and supports more informed, strategic decision‑making in aircraft finance and leasing.

Take a look on the GARI website if you haven’t already. We will shortly be launching our 2026 Annual Update, reflecting all updated data and any changes to relevant laws or practice as of July 2026.

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